In this report, we analyze the main economic developments of the third quarter of 2026, amid persistent geopolitical tensions, inflationary pressures, and other challenges facing Brazil's economic policy following the presidential election.

The report examines the impact of international conflicts on energy and commodity prices, inflation and interest rate trends across major economies, and the implications of the election outcome for Brazil's fiscal and monetary outlook. The analysis also includes economic growth forecasts through the end of 2026, the effects of El Niño on agricultural production, and the economic outlook for Rio Grande do Sul and Santa Catarina, with key indicators and projections for agriculture, industry, services, and retail.

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